The matches of the first division of the Dota Pro Circuit 2023 in the CIS will continue on February 11. The Cybersport.ru editors decided to find out who will be able to guess the most correct outcomes of the league games – us or the “Bookmaker Rating”.
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In the fourth week of the tournament Virtus.pro will meet with Team Spirit, Natus Vincere will play against Live to win, and NoTechies will have two fights – against Team Unique and EXTREMUM… In yet another confrontation, Unique and Team empire…
Third round representatives of the parties:
“Rating of Bookmakers”: Alexander TRUSTNO1 Kozhevnikov – Editor of RB-Cybersport.
Cybersport.ru: Kirill gr1nder Rusakov – the author.
Subtotals:
“Rating of Bookmakers” – ₽4,235.
Cybersport.ru – ₽6 266.
Bet “Bookmaker Rating”:
NoTechies – Team Unique
“We haven’t seen the team in action for a long time. Alexey Solo Berezin – the team got a week of rest, so the guys did not have time to spoil their mood by meeting one of the favorites of the tournament and are approaching the match with Team Unique in a great mood – they have a victory over Team Spirit behind them. However, you shouldn’t pay too much attention to this success of NoTechies: beating a team in which there are problems and which then, due to a local conflict, sends the captain to inactive is not the greatest achievement. Yes, NoTechies were able to record their first victory in the DPC season at the end of January, but it cannot be called a great success. As for Team Unique, the team played in the first three rounds in the most unprincipled way, but it is important to remember that in the first weeks they managed to play with the two strongest teams in the region, Virtus.pro and NAVI, so it’s too early to draw conclusions. Perhaps, if the names of the teams are not entirely equal (I want to believe in Solo and the company), then in terms of their playfulness they are about equal, so one should expect a rather stubborn confrontation. Perhaps, Team Unique is quite capable of taking at least one card from the Solo mix, which we will bet on. “
Bet: ₽300 on Team Unique to win with card handicap (+1.5) with odds of 1.92.
NoTechies – EXTREMUM
“Have a rest? And that’s enough for you. This is exactly what the schedule tells the Solo stack, throwing them into the thick of it in the fourth week. And already a day after the match with Unique, they will face a confrontation with EXTREMUM. It is difficult to say a lot about EXTREMUM – the team, like Unique, managed to play with two top teams in the region, and played with Unique themselves, and very successfully, having won with a score of 2: 1. Let’s predict from the opposite: if we already believe that Unique is able to take the card from NoTechies, we will assume that EXTREMUM, which are stronger than Unique, will be able to repeat it. ”
Bet: ₽300 on EXTREMUM win with handicap on cards (+1.5) with odds of 1.50.
Team Empire – Team Unique
“With all the skepticism that I radiated towards Empire, the team was able to prove that it was not by chance that it ended up in the first league of the CIS. Yes, the victory over Spirit in their performance means no more than the victory of NoTechies (we discussed the reasons above), but Empire managed to fight Live to Win, and in the match with Natus Vincere there were certain glimpses of consciousness in the game at tier-1 level (if we talk about the first card). Unique is capable of giving battle to “Empire”, but in any case the match should remain for Team Empire. “
Bet: ₽500 on Team Empire to win with odds of 1.65.
Live to Win – NAVI
“Are you waiting for the return Vladimir No[o]ne Minenko to the central corridor? Perhaps we will wait already in this match. According to rumors from the LtW camp, Rostislav fn Lozovoy will leave the roster, and the former Virtus.pro mid-leader may take his place! It sounds as hype as possible. In addition, Live to Win continues to negotiate contract terms with Gambit Esports, and even after the problems, Team Spirit has all the chances to at least get into the Wildcard Major in Singapore. The team is doing just fine, however, the integration is No.[o]ne in a team in the short term can lead to certain failures (given that No[o]ne haven’t played competitive Dota in the middle lane for a long time).
As for Natus Vincere, the “born to win”, oddly enough, continue to win. Yes, they misfired in the match with EXTREMUM and were close to miss in the match with Imperia, but in general the ex-FTM show a very decent result. It is unlikely that something will change in this match, but we probably won’t dare to predict the exact score of the meeting – LtW is quite capable of “squeezing” one card from the opponent. Let’s break the first rule of betting on e-sports and bet on NAVI to win. “
Bet: ₽500 on NAVI to win with odds of 1.17.
Virtus.pro – Team Spirit
“There is no beast stronger than a bear! Perhaps, this is the case when even a dragon cannot defeat a clubfoot … Yes, Team Spirit has begun to solve its problems, and Miroslaw looks the most stable and promising player, but VP are too strong in this DPC season. I’m not afraid to predict that at the Major they will seriously qualify for the top 3 tournaments, so it should be easy to cope with a team just below the level. We talked about Spirit and their problems above, so there is nothing to add here. We bet on a dry win for Virtus.pro ”.
Bet: ₽1,000 on Virtus.pro to win with a score of 2: 0 with odds of 1.40.
Cybersport.ru bet:
NoTechies – Team Unique
“For both teams, the start of the tournament did not go well: they are at the bottom of the standings and are rather struggling to retain their place in the first division than to get to the Major. The performance and drafts of NoTechies and Team Unique have enough flaws and roughnesses. It is very difficult to predict the results of face-to-face meetings between teams of this level, and their chances of winning are about 50/50. But Parimatch gives a very good odds for the success of Unique, so we will bet on this. We will only take a small amount, so that in case of a loss, it will not go much into a minus. But the victory will replenish our bank quite well ”.
Bet: ₽500 on Unique to win with odds of 3.75.
NoTechies – EXTREMUM
“In the same fight, bookmakers clearly underestimate EXTREMUM. Despite the fact that the team has a rather limited set of reliable strategies, in previous matches it showed a decent level of preparation and team interaction. In this game, everything will depend on the draft, and if NoTechies allows the opponent to take their heroes, then our bet should work. Team Solo will need to show their best performance in the tournament in order to take points from EXTREMUM. “
Bet: ₽800 on EXTREMUM to win with odds of 2.80.
Team Empire – Team Unique
“Team Empire can partly be called the opening of this tournament. This team was considered by many to be an outsider and was betting that it would fight for survival in the top division, but in practice the team gave a fight to everyone except Virtus.pro – even NAVI had to fiddle with Empire for more than 50 minutes on the first map. If this team is still hoping to get hold of a slot in the Major, then it is inadmissible to lose a meeting with Unique. Therefore, in this match we will definitely bet on Empire ”.
Bet: ₽800 on Team Empire to win with odds of 1.65.
Live to Win – NAVI and Virtus.pro – Team Spirit
“In the forecasts for the outcome of these matches, any analytics hardly makes sense. NAVI and VP are the clear favorites of the entire championship, and hardly any of them plans to lose points in any confrontation, except between each other. Team Spirit recently changed players, and Live to Win is rumored to be doing the same in the near future. But all this does not matter: even if LtW is replaced and both new players Spirit and Live to Win strengthen them, this will not affect the dominance of Natus Vincere and Virtus.pro in the region. However, in order to add intrigue, in one case, we will still take a risk and bet not on the victory, but the number of cards so that the coefficient is higher. “
Bets:
- ₽1,300 for Virtus.pro to beat Spirit with odds of 1.10;
- ₽1,000 for the fact that there will be two maps in the match between NAVI and Live to Win – 1.47.
