“The match with Creepwave should restore the moral of Spirit” – forecasts of RuHub and “Bookmaker Rating” on the third day of ESL One Fall 2023

August 23 in the group stage ESL One Fall 2023 there will be eight Dota 2 meetings. Among them is a match Virtus.pro against Tundra Esports and meeting Team Spirit with Creepwave… We decided to check who can guess the most correct outcomes of the confrontations – RuHub studio or Bookmaker Rating.

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The game day will start at 14:00 Moscow time. Group A will fight Alliance and PSG.LGD, and in group B they will fight Team Liquid and Team empire… The round will end with a team confrontation Artyom Fng Barshak with beastcoast and Empire’s meeting with SG e-sports

Starting bank – 10 thousand rubles. For each game day, we place bets on the results of matches and all kinds of game events. At the end of the tournament, we compare the banks: whoever has the most wins. Let’s sum up the results after the final match of the tournament.

Results of the second round

After the second day of the competition, RuHub representatives managed to break away from the Bookmaker Rating team. Thanks to successful forecasts Vladimir Maelstorm Kuzminov the studio’s bank grew by ₽1 655. At the same time, representatives of the Republic of Belarus lost ₽975.

Subtotals:

  • “Rating of Bookmakers” – ₽9,000.
  • RuHub – ₽11 855.

Previous bets:

Alexander TRUSTNO1 Kozhevnikov (“Rating of Bookmakers”):

  • ₽500 for Virtus.pro to win in the match with Creepwave with odds 1.35 – victory;
  • ₽500 for Team Spirit to win over T1 with odds of 4.50 – victory;
  • ₽500 for Thunder Predator to win against Tundra Esports with odds 3.71 – defeat;
  • ₽1,000 for Alliance to win the match against Team Empire with odds 1.55 – victory;
  • ₽500 for Team Liquid to win in the match against SG esports with odds 1.45 – defeat;
  • ₽500 for Team Spirit to win with card handicap (+0.5) in the match against Virtus.pro with odds of 1.55 – defeat;
  • ₽500 to win T1 in the match with Tundra Esports with odds 1.95 – defeat;
  • ₽500 for Thunder Predator to win against Creepwave with odds 1.65 – lose.

Dmitry Mortalles Arzhilovsky (RuHub)

  • ₽1,000 for a draw in the Virtus.pro – Team Spirit match with odds 2.13 – defeat;
  • ₽1,500 for Tundra Esports to win in the match against T1 with card handicap (+0.5) with odds 1.80 – victory.

Alexander “TRUSTNO1” Kozhevnikov (“Rating of Bookmakers”):

  • ₽1,000 for Virtus.pro to win in the match against Thunder Predator with odds 1.55 – victory;
  • ₽500 for T1 to win in the match with Creepwave at odds of 1.50 – victory;
  • ₽500 for PSG.LGD to win in a match with beastcoast with odds 1.55 – defeat;
  • ₽500 for Alliance to win a match against SG esports with odds of 1.55 – defeat;
  • ₽500 for Team Spirit to win in the match with Tundra Esports with odds 2.90 – defeat;
  • ₽500 to win T1 in a match with Thunder Predator with odds 1.95 – victory;
  • ₽500 to win beastcoast with card handicap (+0.5) with odds of 1.50 – victory;
  • ₽1,000 to win PSG.LGD with odds of 1.38 – defeat.

Vladimir “Maelstorm” Kuzminov (RuHub)

  • ₽500 for a draw in the Alliance – SG esports match with odds 3.31 – victory;
  • ₽500 for Tundra Esports to win in a match with Team Spirit with odds of 4.00 – victory;
  • ₽500 to win beastcoast in a match with Team Liquid with odds of 4.20 – defeat;
  • ₽500 for PSG.LGD to win in a match with Team Empire with odds of 1.38 – defeat.

Representatives of the parties on the third day of the ESL One Fall group stage:

  • “Rating of Bookmakers”: Alexander TRUSTNO1 Kozhevnikov – editor.
  • RuHub: Rustam Adekvat Mavlyutov – Dota 2 commentator and analyst.

Bookmaker Rating bet on the third day of the group stage

Alliance vs. PSG.LGD

On the one hand, there is the failure of Alliance on the first map with SG esports and not the most expressive game with Team Empire, which at least brought results, and on the other, an absolutely toothless game from the Chinese team on the first game day. And if the defeat from beastcoast can still be explained by the fact that the Peruvians, in principle, are able to beat anyone, then a draw with Team Empire defies any logical explanation. Still I will take my words back – Xiao8 on the central corridor does not win, and sometimes even loses. The “director” is a weak link in the PSG.LGD roster, and this will come back to haunt at this tournament more than once. Alliance is not in the best game form, but PSG.LGD, judging by the first game day, is still worse. So we choose Alliance to win, but with caution.

Bid: ₽500 for Alliance to win with odds of 4.00.

Team Liquid vs Team Empire

If Liquid lost one of the matches with the South American teams, then it would be worthwhile to think about whether the complete lack of motivation has a fatal effect on the result. But two draws are not so bad for a team that is not very interested in playing this season, given the lack of The International… Can Liquid beat Empire in class? Yes. Is Empire capable of fighting Liquid? Yes. But the probability of the first outcome is still higher, even if yesterday the “Imperials” managed to take points from PSG.LGD. Let’s take Liquid’s victory.

Bid: ₽500 for Team Liquid to win at 2.15 odds.

SG esports vs beastcoast

South American derby on the third game day of ESL One Fall for the regions of Europe and the CIS. Do you agree that sounds a little unusual? However, the fact is the fact, we will face a stubborn confrontation between Brazilians and Peruvians. Will it turn out to be persistent in the result? It’s hard to say – as the history of personal meetings shows, beastcoast easily cope with this opponent. Perhaps we will not go against mathematics and will wait for the third 2: 0 in favor of bc.

Bid: ₽500 to win beastcoast with odds of 2.08.

Virtus.pro vs. Tundra Esports

Bears in the tundra. Sounds like the name of chocolates. But, as biology proves, not all bears feel comfortable in the tundra. But since VP has a white bear on the logo, then there shouldn’t be any problems, right?

Seriously, Tundra is now in almost the best shape of all the teams participating in the tournament. And only Virtus.pro can compete with them. In the first two days “Bears” skated through their opponents, like Tundra, so this match can rightfully be called a meeting for the first place in the group.

Perhaps, somewhere in the sub-core, there is still a feeling that Virtus.pro is now stronger than Tundra, so let’s not invent anything and put our hearts on our CIS guys.

Bid: ₽500 for Virtus.pro to win with 2.15 odds.

Team Spirit vs. Creepwave

Still, it didn’t work out not to tilt. Team Spirit started the tournament well, beating T1, but still the match showed some minor problems in the game of “dragons”. And already in the second meeting of the tournament with the principal rivals from Virtus.pro, Spirit’s game fell apart. And it fell so much that even in the match with Tundra it was not possible to recover. There is perhaps only one thing that pleases Spirit fans – the next opponents look weaker than the previous ones. And, perhaps, it is the match with Creepwave that should return Spirit to morality. The opponent is far from the most skillful, you can beat even in class, and in general, Creepwave’s play at this tournament leaves much to be desired. So we are waiting for an easy 2: 0 from the “dragons”.

Bid: ₽1,000 for Team Spirit to win with odds of 1.45.

Team Liquid vs. PSG.LGD

On the one hand – the penultimate day of the group stage, which means it’s time to take risks, especially since we are talking about the PSG.LGD match, which not only did not come to the tournament in full force, but also not in their best shape. On the other hand, Liquid’s game also leaves much to be desired. It is not an easy idea to choose a winner here, but, to be honest, I certainly cannot believe in an unconditional victory for PSG.LGD. So let’s play without much risk and bet that Liquid will take at least one card.

Bid: ₽500 for Team Liquid to win with card handicap (+0.5) with odds of 1.60.

Alliance vs beastcoast

And yet the third game day is quite difficult in terms of forecasting. To be honest, from the first two matches it is completely unclear how bad Alliance is. However, it looks like she’s bad enough not to be able to easily outplay tough opponents like beastcoast. South Americans can beat anyone on their best day. So why not have a better day today?

Bid: ₽500 to win beastcoast with odds of 4.50.

SG esports vs Team Empire

With all due respect to Empire and their victory on one of the maps with PSG.LGD, they are still one of the outsiders of the tournament. And you can’t argue with that. Will they be able to take at least one card from the Brazilians from SG? Perhaps. But picking up the match is unlikely. We’ll bet on a draw, because it’s hard to believe in the victory of one of the teams.

Bid: ₽500 for a draw with odds of 1.90.

RuHub bet on the third day of the group stage

Team Liquid vs Team Empire

Liquid are trying in every possible way to impose a tight fight at the start, to seize the advantage. At the same time, the “liquid” make a lot of mistakes in the middle of the game, allowing their opponents to recoup. In a group situation where Empire can no longer lose, they will rather try to play accurately, but the chances of winning in one of the cards are quite high.

Bid: ₽1,000 for Team Empire to win with card handicap (+0.5) with odds of 1.65.

SG esports vs beastcoast

A South American derby that bc have never lost to SG this season. Both matches were played in the first and second seasons of the DPC. The opponent is comfortable for bc, plus the victory will bring them a clear first place in the group.

Bid: ₽1,000 to win beastcoast with odds of 2.08.

Virtus.pro vs. Tundra Esports

Both teams will come up to the match unbeaten, in their best shape in the tournament. A contender for a group stage match, in which the outcome can go to three results, two of which will suit us.

Bid: ₽1,000 for Tundra Esports to win with card handicap (+0.5) with odds of 1.65.

Preliminary results

After two rounds, RuHub bypasses the “Bookmaker Rankings” thanks to several successful bets with high odds.

The odds are taken from the site of the Parimatch betting company and are relevant at the time of publication of the material.