“Spirit needs to score points and find a confident game” – forecasts of RuHub and “Bookmaker Rating” on the fourth day of ESL One Fall 2023

August 24 in the group stage ESL One Fall 2023 there will be six Dota 2 meetings. Virtus.pro will try to take revenge on T1 for the final of the last tournament from ESL, Team empire fight with beastcoast, a Team Spirit – with Thunder Predator… The outcomes of these and other meetings were decided by representatives of the RuHub studio and the “Rating of Bookmakers” in the framework of the competition of forecasters.

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The game day will start at 19:00 Moscow time. ESL One Fall 2023 participants will play in three parallel matches. The first three will fight Alliance and Team Liquid, PSG.LGD and SG e-sports, Empire and beastcoast, and in the second – VP and T1, Creepwave and Tundra Esports, Spirit and Thunder Predator.

Starting bank – 10 thousand rubles. For each game day, we place bets on the results of matches and all kinds of game events. At the end of the tournament, we compare the banks: whoever has the most wins. Let’s sum up the results after the final match of the tournament.

Results of the third round

As a result of the third day of the group stage, RuHub representatives strengthened their leadership. The studio increased the gap by ₽715, while the Bookmaker Rating team earned ₽15 per round.

Subtotals:

  • “Rating of Bookmakers” – ₽9,015.
  • RuHub – 12 585.

Previous bets:

Alexander TRUSTNO1 Kozhevnikov (“Rating of Bookmakers”):

  • ₽500 for Virtus.pro to win in the match with Creepwave with odds 1.35 – victory;
  • ₽500 for Team Spirit to win over T1 with odds of 4.50 – victory;
  • ₽500 for Thunder Predator to win against Tundra Esports with odds 3.71 – defeat;
  • ₽1,000 for Alliance to win the match against Team Empire with odds 1.55 – victory;
  • ₽500 for Team Liquid to win in the match against SG esports with odds 1.45 – defeat;
  • ₽500 for Team Spirit to win with card handicap (+0.5) in the match against Virtus.pro with odds of 1.55 – defeat;
  • ₽500 to win T1 in the match with Tundra Esports with odds 1.95 – defeat;
  • ₽500 for Thunder Predator to win against Creepwave with odds 1.65 – lose.

Dmitry Mortalles Arzhilovsky (RuHub):

  • ₽1,000 for a draw in the Virtus.pro – Team Spirit match with odds 2.13 – defeat;
  • ₽1,500 for Tundra Esports to win in the match against T1 with card handicap (+0.5) with odds 1.80 – victory.

Alexander TRUSTNO1 Kozhevnikov (“Rating of Bookmakers”):

  • ₽1,000 for Virtus.pro to win in the match against Thunder Predator with odds 1.55 – victory;
  • ₽500 for T1 to win in the match with Creepwave at odds of 1.50 – victory;
  • ₽500 for PSG.LGD to win in a match with beastcoast with odds 1.55 – defeat;
  • ₽500 for Alliance to win a match against SG esports with odds of 1.55 – defeat;
  • ₽500 for Team Spirit to win in the match with Tundra Esports with odds 2.90 – defeat;
  • ₽500 to win T1 in a match with Thunder Predator with odds 1.95 – victory;
  • ₽500 to win beastcoast with card handicap (+0.5) with odds of 1.50 – victory;
  • ₽1,000 to win PSG.LGD with odds of 1.38 – defeat.

Vladimir Maelstorm Kuzminov (RuHub):

  • ₽500 for a draw in the Alliance – SG esports match with odds 3.31 – victory;
  • ₽500 for Tundra Esports to win in a match with Team Spirit with odds of 4.00 – victory;
  • ₽500 to win beastcoast in a match with Team Liquid with odds of 4.20 – defeat;
  • ₽500 for PSG.LGD to win in a match with Team Empire with odds of 1.38 – defeat.


Alexander TRUSTNO1 Kozhevnikov (“Rating of Bookmakers”):

  • ₽500 for Alliance to win a match against PSG.LGD with odds of 4.00 – defeat;
  • ₽500 for Team Liquid to win over Team Empire with odds 2.15 – defeat;
  • ₽500 to win beastcoast in a match with SG e-sports with odds 2.08 – victory;
  • ₽500 for Virtus.pro to win over Tundra Esports with odds 2.15 – victory;
  • ₽1,000 for Team Spirit to win in the match with Creepwave with odds 1.45 – victory;
  • ₽500 for Team Liquid to win in the match against PSG.LGD with card handicap (+0.5) with odds 1.60 – defeat;
  • ₽500 for beastcoast to win in a match with Alliance with odds of 4.50 – defeat;
  • ₽500 for a draw in the match SG e-sports – Team Empire with odds 1.90 – victory.

Rustam Adekvat Mavlyutov (RuHub):

  • ₽1,000 for Team Empire to win with card handicap (+0.5) with odds 1.65 – victory;
  • ₽1,000 for beastcoast to win in the match with Alliance with odds of 2.08 – victory;
  • ₽1,000 for Tundra Esports to win in the match against Virtus.pro with card handicap (+0.5) with odds 1.65 – defeat.

Representatives of the parties on the fourth day of the ESL One Fall group stage:

  • “Rating of Bookmakers”: Alexander TRUSTNO1 Kozhevnikov – editor.
  • RuHub: Vladimir Maelstorm Kuzminov – Dota 2 commentator and analyst.

Bookmaker Rating bet on the fourth day of the group stage

Alliance vs Team Liquid

As bad as the Alliance players show (except, of course, s4) in this tournament, they still have chances of reaching even the upper bracket of the playoffs. Yes, of course, this is from the realm of fantasy, but they are definitely within their power to go further. All you need to do is beat Team Liquid. “Liquid” are not motivated and show not the most outstanding game in this tournament, so Alliance will have a good chance of catching on to victory, but I think Liquid will also try to fix the situation on the last day and still make it to the playoffs. The game promises to be equal and not the best, so we will not even try to choose the winner here. Probably, the teams can exchange the collected cards, which we will bet on.

Bid: ₽500 for a draw with odds of 2.01.

PSG.LGD vs SG e-sports

The Chinese are back! Well, at least we were able to play two really cool series – just with Alliance and Liquid on the third game day. These two victories allowed PSG.LGD to even claim the first place in the group, despite their lackluster first day of play. Perhaps their today’s opponent can be safely attributed to the same group of teams that they beat yesterday, so even with problems, they are obliged to take their points for winning the game with the Brazilians.

Bid: 1,500 to win PSG.LGD with odds of 1.38.

Team Empire vs. Beastcoast

The main question of the entire group stage of the tournament – is “Empire” so good or do the opponents care so much about the game? Rather, the second. Yes, of course, Empire managed to catch three draws, but there are no victories so far, and, let’s be honest, they are unlikely to be. Beastcoast are showing too good a game in this tournament and cannot afford to stumble on the last game day, when the first place in the group and a confident passage to the upper bracket of the playoffs are at stake. “Empire” is not a rival that bc cannot cope with, so we are expecting a victory from the South American team.

Bid: 1,000 to win beastcoast with odds of 2.08.

Virtus.pro vs T1

Just think about it. Virtus.pro is the only team in the tournament that never gave up a single card from the first four. The class of “bears” is literally a cut higher than that of all opponents, at least at the stage of the group stage. On the one hand, of course, having won four victories, you can experiment. On the other hand, even an experiment can be very successful, remember at least Huskar from Save- at one of the tournaments. T1 is not in the best shape right now, even though they managed to return to the second match day, beating the group outsiders. So it is unlikely 23savage and the company will manage to impose its game on a team that looks like the real grandeur of this tournament. We are looking forward to a landslide victory from VP.

Bid: ₽1 500 for Virtus.pro to win with 1.90 odds.

Creepwave vs. Tundra Esports

Tundra stumbled only once during the group stage – in a match with those very Virtus.pro, which certainly is nothing reprehensible, given the current level of the Bears. Perhaps it is Tundra, given their performance in the past few months, that is the team that will be missed at TI – they are showing too good a game. As for Creepwave, the “creepers” confirmed their title of the main outsiders of the tournament, catching only a draw with other outsiders – Thunder Predator. It is unlikely that Tundra will miss the opportunity to win another victory, so you should be confident 2: 0 from them.

Bid: 1,000 to win Tundra Esports at odds of 1.35.

Thunder Predator vs. Team Spirit

Perhaps this match is not much different from the previous one in our series of predictions, except that TP has a little more chances to cling to points in this matchup. As mentioned, the Spirit easily overpowered Creepwave, so from a team morale point of view, things should work out. This match is a great opportunity to consolidate the result and go to the lower bracket of the tournament with a clear conscience. Perhaps Spirit is simply obliged to outplay his opponent, if not for points, then in order to consolidate his psychological state after two offensive slaps in the face on the second game day.

Bid: 1,000 for Team Spirit to win with odds of 1.85.

RuHub bet on the fourth day of the group stage

Virtus.pro vs T1

Virtus.pro is in great shape and it is also an online tournament. If at the very beginning it was possible to doubt their success, now I am sure that they will easily cope with medium and weak teams. T1 is a good team, but they are not doing well yet, besides, VP must show and prove that the new coach is a plus for them, as well as the renewal of the headquarters as a whole.

Bid: 1,000 for Virtus.pro to win with 1.65 odds.

Team Spirit vs. Thunder Predator

Thunder Predator didn’t show anything at all at the tournament, they don’t really care at ESL anymore, they’ve already been eliminated. But Spirit really needs to score points and find a more confident game, so I think our guys have good chances.

Bid: 1,000 for Team Spirit to win with odds of 1.80.

Alliance vs Team Liquid

It seems to me that the teams are absolutely equal, and I will risk putting Liquid on the victory in this pair. It is not surprising that they are not in shape, because they did not make it to The International, but what Alliance is showing ahead of the main tournament of the year is alarming.

Bid: 500 for Team Liquid to win by 4.20 odds.

PSG.LGD vs SG e-sports

LGD is many times stronger than SG, but what they do in the group is another story. They can lose the card to any opponent. It’s simple.

Bid: 500 for a draw with odds 3.31.

Preliminary results

After three rounds, RuHub bypasses the “Bookmaker Rankings” thanks to several successful bets with high odds.

The odds are taken from the site of the Parimatch betting company and are relevant at the time of publication of the material.